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article 2025 14 pages

Modeling lactate threshold in cycling—influence of sex, maximal oxygen uptake, and cost of cycling in young athletes

Jonas Fischer, Finn Hävecker, Sanghyeon Ji, Patrick Wahl, Sebastian Keller

Journal
European Journal of Applied Physiology
DOI
10.1007/s00421-025-05744-y
Publication type
Original Research
Population
young athletes
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Abstract

Purpose

Understanding physiological determinants of lactate threshold 2 (LT2) is crucial for tracking adaptations and deriving individualized training recommendations in cycling. Therefore, the study investigated: 1. the accuracy of modeling power output at LT2 in young athletes of both sexes using maximal oxygen uptake (\({\dot{V}}\textrm{O}_{2_\textrm{peak}}\)), fractional utilization of \({\dot{V}}\textrm{O}_{2_\textrm{peak}}\) (%\({\dot{V}}\textrm{O}_{2_\textrm{peak}}\)), and oxygen cost of cycling (Cc); 2. the influence of Cc determination on the model accuracy; 3. the influence of the model predictors and inclusion of maximal lactate accumulation rate (\({\dot{c}}La_\textrm{max}\)) on power at LT2 depending on sex.

Methods

Eighty-three cyclists and triathletes (22 females, 61 males; age [median and IQR]: 14.6 [13.8–17.6] years, \({\dot{V}}\textrm{O}_{2_\textrm{peak}}\) [mean ± SD]: 59.2 ± 6.5 mL⋅kg–1⋅min–1) performed an incremental test to determine power at LT2, \({\dot{V}}\textrm{O}_{2_\textrm{peak}},\) %\({\dot{V}}\textrm{O}_{2_\textrm{peak}}\) at LT2, and Cc (assessed at 3 W⋅kg–1, 75% \({\dot{V}}\textrm{O}_{2_\textrm{peak}},\) and 90% LT2).

Results

Modeled and experimentally determined power at LT2 demonstrated excellent agreement for all, male and female athletes (ICC \(\ge\) 0.961), with Cc at 90% LT2 providing the highest accuracy (ICC \(\ge\) 0.986). The three physiological determinants explained \(\ge\) 98% of the variance in power at LT2, with the largest unique contribution from \({\dot{V}}\textrm{O}_{2_\textrm{peak}}\) (62 and 67% of total \(R^2\)), followed by Cc (8 and 34%) and %\({\dot{V}}\textrm{O}_{2_\textrm{peak}}\) at LT2 (5 and 12%) in males and females, respectively, while \({\dot{c}}La_\textrm{max}\) did not improve the regression.

Conclusion

\({\dot{V}}\textrm{O}_{2_\textrm{peak}}, \) %\({\dot{V}}\textrm{O}_{2_\textrm{peak}}\) at LT2 and Cc accurately predict power at LT2 in young cycling athletes independent of sex, with determination of Cc at 90% LT2 providing the highest accuracy. While \({\dot{V}}\textrm{O}_{2_\textrm{peak}}\) contributes most to LT2 in both sexes, Cc appears more important in young females.

Description

The study investigates modeling power output at LT2 in young athletes using physiological determinants.